Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

157.12 – 82.26

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

153 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 5.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.7 ±10.5

5572Rosbots

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 122.19Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 15.08Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6180Mechanical Lions

Season APEX 39Event APEX 19.85Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.6 ±11.7

11224Azreal

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX -5.26Rank 27Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9577Recoil

Season APEX 54.3Event APEX 36.03Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1255Blarglefish

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 51.49Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5572, 2587, 6180

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5572, 2587, 6180

Auto

29.3 19%

Teleop

97.3 62%

Endgame

31.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11224, 9577, 1255

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11224, 9577, 1255

Auto

20.9 25%

Teleop

43.7 53%

Endgame

18.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score157.1pts

Blue projected score82.3pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 74.9
Score range: 56–183
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 242 vs event baseline 145.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

394.7Season APEX192.6

29.3Auto20.9

97.3Teleop43.7

31.5Endgame18.3

51Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	17
teleop	64	41
endgame	40	31
foul	0	0
total	153	89

Result

Final score

153 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 5.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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