Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

195.9 – 81.49

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

209 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 504.7 ±10.5

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 129.31Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6243Energy NERDs

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 14.75Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9506Conspiracy Robotics

Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 51.84Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 146.3 ±12.2

5892Energy HEROs

Season APEX 101.6Event APEX 43.34Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8573Rogue-Rangers LEGACY

Season APEX 14.9Event APEX 42.32Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7138Wing It

Season APEX 29.8Event APEX -4.17Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6800, 6243, 9506

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6800, 6243, 9506

Auto

50.2 26%

Teleop

125.7 66%

Endgame

13.8 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5892, 8573, 7138

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5892, 8573, 7138

Auto

19.0 23%

Teleop

43.9 54%

Endgame

18.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score195.9pts

Blue projected score81.5pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 114.4
Score range: 55–222
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 258 vs event baseline 145.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

504.7Season APEX146.3

50.2Auto19

125.7Teleop43.9

13.8Endgame18.6

14Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	9
teleop	89	26
endgame	58	9
foul	10	5
total	209	49

Result

Final score

209 – 49

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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