Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

191.8 – 225.87

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

192 – 181

Prediction missed · off by 22.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.4 ±9.7

2789TEXPLOSION

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 18.65Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 20.11Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 153.04Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 635.3 ±9.9

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 140.18Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4076Texan Robotics

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 36.02Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 49.67Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2789, 2587, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2789, 2587, 118

Auto

37.9 20%

Teleop

115.5 61%

Endgame

35.4 19%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6800, 4076, 9140

/ 100 compat

Projected

225.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6800, 4076, 9140

Auto

56.1 25%

Teleop

116.9 53%

Endgame

48.9 22%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score191.8pts

Blue projected score225.9pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -34.1
Score range: 166–252
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 373 vs event baseline 143.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.4Season APEX635.3

37.9Auto56.1

115.5Teleop116.9

35.4Endgame48.9

80Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	47
teleop	96	77
endgame	45	27
foul	5	30
total	192	181

Result

Final score

192 – 181

Prediction missed · off by 22.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.