Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.45 – 127.75

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186 ±11

6180Mechanical Lions

Season APEX 39Event APEX 26.93Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6901Knights

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 32.11Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10913Robot Wranglers

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 1.41Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.6 ±11.6

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 33.58Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7088Somerset Robodogs

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 13.02Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

436Purple Rain

Season APEX 91Event APEX 81.15Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6180, 6901, 10913

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6180, 6901, 10913

Auto

29.3 50%

Teleop

8.5 15%

Endgame

20.7 35%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6377, 7088, 436

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6377, 7088, 436

Auto

17.9 14%

Teleop

87.7 67%

Endgame

26.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.04 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60.5pts

Blue projected score127.8pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -67.3
Score range: 34–154
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 288 vs event baseline 143.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186Season APEX245.6

29.3Auto17.9

8.5Teleop87.7

20.7Endgame26.1

39Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	44
teleop	22	118
endgame	5	77
foul	5	0
total	49	239

Result

Final score

49 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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