Qualification · Qualification 15
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
91.38 – 1.27
75%25%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
127 – 88
Prediction correct · off by 61.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 230 ±11
Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 30.92Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 25.23Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 35.23Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 118.1 ±13.3
Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 11.2Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39Event APEX 6.05Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -15.98Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9506, 1255, 4076
60
/ 100 compatProjected
91.4 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9506, 1255, 4076
Auto
17.8 20%
Teleop
46.6 53%
Endgame
23.0 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3545, 6180, 8750
9
/ 100 compatProjected
1.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 3545, 6180, 8750
Auto
10.3 0%
Teleop
-21.8 100%
Endgame
8.7 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score91.4pts
Blue projected score1.3pts
Red win probability75%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 90.1
- Score range
- -24–116
- Upset likelihood
- 25%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
230Season APEX118.1
17.8Auto10.3
46.6Teleop-21.8
23Endgame8.7
141Consistency111
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 17 |
| teleop | 74 | 35 |
| endgame | 30 | 36 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 127 | 88 |
Result
Final score
127 – 88
Prediction correct · off by 61.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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