Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
124.88 – 224.93
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
164 – 237
Prediction correct · off by 25.6 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.2 ±11.6
Season APEX 35.9Event APEX 73.29Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 4.46Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 14.9Event APEX 47.13Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 368.8 ±11
Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 137.62Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 14.16Rank 27Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 91Event APEX 73.15Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5103, 6377, 8573
67
/ 100 compatProjected
124.9 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5103, 6377, 8573
Auto
21.4 18%
Teleop
57.7 49%
Endgame
37.6 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 118, 11224, 436
86
/ 100 compatProjected
224.9 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 118, 11224, 436
Auto
39.9 18%
Teleop
140.1 63%
Endgame
43.2 19%
Strengths
- · 118 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.19
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score124.9pts
Blue projected score224.9pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample138alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -100.1
- Score range
- 101–249
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
163.2Season APEX368.8
21.4Auto39.9
57.7Teleop140.1
37.6Endgame43.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 30 |
| teleop | 105 | 161 |
| endgame | 36 | 46 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 164 | 237 |
Result
Final score
164 – 237
Prediction correct · off by 25.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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