Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

126.32 – 210.37

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

126 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 6.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.2 ±11

1255Blarglefish

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 50.23Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7088Somerset Robodogs

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 23.13Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5892Energy HEROs

Season APEX 101.6Event APEX 52.96Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 473.9 ±11.2

10913Robot Wranglers

Season APEX 78.3Event APEX 7.97Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 174.02Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8750Tarpontron1cs

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 28.38Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1255, 7088, 5892

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1255, 7088, 5892

Auto

23.1 19%

Teleop

76.1 61%

Endgame

25.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10913, 6800, 8750

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.4 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10913, 6800, 8750

Auto

51.8 26%

Teleop

93.1 47%

Endgame

52.5 27%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.06 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score126.3pts

Blue projected score210.4pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -84.1
Score range: 99–237
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 349 vs event baseline 151.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

240.2Season APEX473.9

23.1Auto51.8

76.1Teleop93.1

25.1Endgame52.5

37Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	56
teleop	72	114
endgame	40	48
foul	0	5
total	126	223

Result

Final score

126 – 223

Prediction correct · off by 6.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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