Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.92 – 128.44

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

103 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 27.3 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.4 ±11.6

4076Texan Robotics

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 27.57Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 49.15Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6243Energy NERDs

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 14.2Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.6 ±11.7

6901Knights

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 60.96Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9506Conspiracy Robotics

Season APEX 91.4Event APEX 42.6Rank 16Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3545Bots in Blue

Season APEX 39.5Event APEX 24.88Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4076, 418, 6243

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4076, 418, 6243

Auto

18.7 20%

Teleop

50.9 56%

Endgame

22.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6901, 9506, 3545

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6901, 9506, 3545

Auto

23.5 18%

Teleop

72.2 56%

Endgame

33.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.9pts

Blue projected score128.4pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.5
Score range: 66–153
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 189 vs event baseline 136.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.4Season APEX199.6

18.7Auto23.5

50.9Teleop72.2

22.1Endgame33.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	24
teleop	64	35
endgame	0	27
foul	0	0
total	103	86

Result

Final score

103 – 86

Prediction missed · off by 27.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.