Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

363.39 – 218.2

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

374 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 634.1 ±9.1

7088Somerset Robodogs

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 19.24Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 190.67Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 153.48Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 413.7 ±9.8

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 80.99Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6901Knights

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 46.22Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 90.99Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7088, 6800, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

363.4 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7088, 6800, 118

Auto

70.2 20%

Teleop

205.4 57%

Endgame

84.1 23%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 418, 6901, 9140

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 418, 6901, 9140

Auto

48.8 23%

Teleop

112.4 53%

Endgame

50.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.38 · Blue 0.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score363.4pts

Blue projected score218.2pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 145.2
Score range: 187–394
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 616 vs event baseline 174.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

634.1Season APEX413.7

70.2Auto48.8

205.4Teleop112.4

84.1Endgame50

0Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	38
teleop	219	117
endgame	110	87
foul	0	0
total	374	242

Result

Final score

374 – 242

Prediction correct · off by 17.2 pts

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