Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

368.63 – 217.96

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

328 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 20.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 634.1 ±9.1

7088Somerset Robodogs

Season APEX 42.2Event APEX 21.27Rank 25Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6800Valor

Season APEX 356Event APEX 192.24Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 155.12Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 413.7 ±9.8

418Purple Haze

Season APEX 107.9Event APEX 81.23Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6901Knights

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 46.05Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 90.68Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7088, 6800, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

368.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7088, 6800, 118

Auto

68.4 19%

Teleop

213.5 58%

Endgame

83.1 23%

Strengths

· 6800 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 418, 6901, 9140

/ 100 compat

Projected

218 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 418, 6901, 9140

Auto

49.8 23%

Teleop

118.3 55%

Endgame

45.4 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score368.6pts

Blue projected score218pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample138alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 150.7
Score range: 187–400
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 546 vs event baseline 173.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

634.1Season APEX413.7

68.4Auto49.8

213.5Teleop118.3

83.1Endgame45.4

0Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	40
teleop	148	55
endgame	93	93
foul	5	30
total	328	218

Result

Final score

328 – 218

Prediction correct · off by 20.3 pts

Match videos

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