Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

119.92 – 92.47

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

164 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 34.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.1 ±11.6

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 13.56Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 73.5Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1255Blarglefish

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 32.86Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 185.9 ±11.6

5261Cyber Shock

Season APEX 82.2Event APEX 56.95Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6645Alloy Obsession

Season APEX 73Event APEX 27.08Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5908Spartans

Season APEX 30.7Event APEX 8.44Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4587, 8515, 1255

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4587, 8515, 1255

Auto

19.2 19%

Teleop

50.2 51%

Endgame

29.4 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 5261, 6645, 5908

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5261, 6645, 5908

Auto

21.0 22%

Teleop

43.1 45%

Endgame

31.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.43 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score119.9pts

Blue projected score92.5pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.5
Score range: 72–140
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 110.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252.1Season APEX185.9

19.2Auto21

50.2Teleop43.1

29.4Endgame31.8

0Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	19
teleop	76	55
endgame	47	38
foul	0	5
total	164	117

Result

Final score

164 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 34.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.