Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
45.03 – 50.43
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
37 – 60
Prediction correct · off by 8.8 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.1 ±11.1
Season APEX 180.1Event APEX 11.8Rank 23Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48Event APEX 16.09Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 73Event APEX 17.14Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.8 ±11.6
Season APEX 196Event APEX 17.14Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 111Event APEX 17.2Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 16.09Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11242, 4587, 6645
48
/ 100 compatProjected
45 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 11242, 4587, 6645
Auto
11.3 33%
Teleop
14.4 42%
Endgame
8.2 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 17%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 11178, 9512, 5726
53
/ 100 compatProjected
50.4 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 11178, 9512, 5726
Auto
10.7 23%
Teleop
22.4 49%
Endgame
12.5 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 17%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.33
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score45pts
Blue projected score50.4pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 17%, blue 25%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -5.4
- Score range
- 28–67
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
301.1Season APEX331.8
11.3Auto10.7
14.4Teleop22.4
8.2Endgame12.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 23 |
| teleop | 12 | 26 |
| endgame | 5 | 11 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 37 | 60 |
Result
Final score
37 – 60
Prediction correct · off by 8.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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