Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

102.88 – 234.49

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 35.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 288.2 ±12.4

11132Rambotics, Inc.

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 39.95Rank 26Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 50.57Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2882Nuts n' Boltz

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 12.36Rank 24Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.2 ±9

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 48.89Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1255Blarglefish

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 39.21Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 146.39Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11132, 5414, 2882

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11132, 5414, 2882

Auto

18.0 24%

Teleop

42.0 57%

Endgame

13.9 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 10118, 1255, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10118, 1255, 118

Auto

45.8 20%

Teleop

123.8 54%

Endgame

58.0 25%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score102.9pts

Blue projected score234.5pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 6%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -131.6
Score range: 82–255
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 116.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

288.2Season APEX387.2

18Auto45.8

42Teleop123.8

13.9Endgame58

22Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	59
teleop	24	102
endgame	19	40
foul	5	0
total	66	201

Result

Final score

66 – 201

Prediction correct · off by 35.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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