Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

69.66 – 36.88

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

59 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 336.9 ±11.2

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 0.84Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

11242Golden Eagle Mechanics

Season APEX 180.1Event APEX 24.8Rank 23Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

231High Voltage

Season APEX 101.7Event APEX 44.02Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 126.4 ±14.8

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 0.36Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9521Humble Rumble

Season APEX 27Event APEX 2.47Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

4328Furious Falcons

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 34.05Rank 13Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7115, 11242, 231

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7115, 11242, 231

Auto

30.0 40%

Teleop

21.9 29%

Endgame

24.0 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4587, 9521, 4328

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4587, 9521, 4328

Auto

18.9 52%

Teleop

4.4 12%

Endgame

13.2 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.7pts

Blue projected score36.9pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 32.8
Score range: 18–89
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 114 vs event baseline 105.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

336.9Season APEX126.4

30Auto18.9

21.9Teleop4.4

24Endgame13.2

49Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	20
teleop	20	26
endgame	5	9
foul	0	0
total	59	55

Result

Final score

59 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 14.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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