Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

82.4 – 76.45

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

139 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 308.7 ±10.4

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 50.27Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11178Revelation

Season APEX 196Event APEX 24.74Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 7.39Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 151.6 ±12.7

5923WildC.A.T.S.

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX 1.51Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5726RHUMBOTZ

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 11.38Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 63.56Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10118, 11178, 8818

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10118, 11178, 8818

Auto

25.2 30%

Teleop

40.7 48%

Endgame

18.4 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 5923, 5726, 8515

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5923, 5726, 8515

Auto

20.5 42%

Teleop

19.6 40%

Endgame

9.0 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.36 · Blue 1.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score82.4pts

Blue projected score76.5pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6
Score range: 58–100
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 102.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

308.7Season APEX151.6

25.2Auto20.5

40.7Teleop19.6

18.4Endgame9

2Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	17
teleop	78	33
endgame	23	14
foul	0	20
total	139	84

Result

Final score

139 – 84

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.