Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.1 – 168.81

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 131 ±12.8

5923WildC.A.T.S.

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX 3.94Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11132Rambotics, Inc.

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 50.52Rank 26Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 9.64Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 503.1 ±9.7

11178Revelation

Season APEX 196Event APEX 20.27Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 136.69Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2585Impact

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 11.85Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5923, 11132, 8818

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5923, 11132, 8818

Auto

8.9 42%

Teleop

11.8 55%

Endgame

0.6 3%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 11178, 118, 2585

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11178, 118, 2585

Auto

32.1 18%

Teleop

94.6 52%

Endgame

56.7 31%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.1pts

Blue projected score168.8pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -104.7
Score range: 46–187
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 100.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

131Season APEX503.1

8.9Auto32.1

11.8Teleop94.6

0.6Endgame56.7

4Consistency105

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	36
teleop	13	138
endgame	13	63
foul	0	0
total	44	237

Result

Final score

44 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 44.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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