Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.29 – 118.7

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 160 ±12.8

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 7.54Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5070Gearnotics

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX 6.92Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11277ARC

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 29.83Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.5 ±10.5

231High Voltage

Season APEX 101.7Event APEX 46.59Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5726RHUMBOTZ

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 16.09Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 56.02Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7115, 5070, 11277

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7115, 5070, 11277

Auto

13.2 22%

Teleop

26.0 44%

Endgame

19.9 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 231, 5726, 5414

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 231, 5726, 5414

Auto

30.2 23%

Teleop

74.4 57%

Endgame

26.0 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.83 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.3pts

Blue projected score118.7pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.4
Score range: 26–137
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 102 vs event baseline 101.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

160Season APEX306.5

13.2Auto30.2

26Teleop74.4

19.9Endgame26

46Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	29
teleop	2	47
endgame	6	4
foul	0	0
total	22	80

Result

Final score

22 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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