Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

157.82 – 63.01

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

165 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 349 ±9.8

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 7.43Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 134.29Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1255Blarglefish

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 16.1Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 147 ±12.2

6645Alloy Obsession

Season APEX 73Event APEX 21.75Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5923WildC.A.T.S.

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX -3.06Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 44.32Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8818, 624, 1255

/ 100 compat

Projected

157.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8818, 624, 1255

Auto

41.7 27%

Teleop

90.3 58%

Endgame

24.6 16%

Strengths

· 624 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 6645, 5923, 10118

/ 100 compat

Projected

63 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6645, 5923, 10118

Auto

20.4 37%

Teleop

27.3 49%

Endgame

7.9 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.95 · Blue 0.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score157.8pts

Blue projected score63pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 94.8
Score range: 45–176
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 295 vs event baseline 100.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

349Season APEX147

41.7Auto20.4

90.3Teleop27.3

24.6Endgame7.9

18Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	28
teleop	85	54
endgame	44	28
foul	0	20
total	165	130

Result

Final score

165 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree