Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 200.34

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 179.5 ±12.7

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX -2.79Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6488RoboRams

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX -5.43Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2585Impact

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 7.96Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 345.1 ±12.9

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 139.11Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9521Humble Rumble

Season APEX 27Event APEX 7.99Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

5261Cyber Shock

Season APEX 82.2Event APEX 53.24Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4587, 6488, 2585

/ 100 compat

Projected

-0.3 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4587, 6488, 2585

Auto

11.5 41%

Teleop

5.1 18%

Endgame

11.6 41%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 118, 9521, 5261

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 118, 9521, 5261

Auto

32.5 16%

Teleop

109.7 54%

Endgame

61.4 30%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 18%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.37 · Blue 2.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-0.3pts

Blue projected score200.3pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 18%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -200.3
Score range: -18–218
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 100.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

179.5Season APEX345.1

11.5Auto32.5

5.1Teleop109.7

11.6Endgame61.4

37Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	42
teleop	11	101
endgame	18	36
foul	5	0
total	44	179

Result

Final score

44 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree