Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.83 – 65.34

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Tie

Final score

87 – 87

Prediction missed · off by 23.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.6 ±13.9

11132Rambotics, Inc.

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 53.19Rank 26Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 2.06Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

10904The Circuit Sorcerers

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX 5.58Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 285.6 ±11.7

4328Furious Falcons

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 37.2Rank 13Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2882Nuts n' Boltz

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 13.34Rank 24Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

11242Golden Eagle Mechanics

Season APEX 180.1Event APEX 14.8Rank 23Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11132, 7115, 10904

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11132, 7115, 10904

Auto

9.8 59%

Teleop

-0.3 0%

Endgame

7.2 43%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4328, 2882, 11242

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4328, 2882, 11242

Auto

26.2 38%

Teleop

14.5 21%

Endgame

27.6 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60.8pts

Blue projected score65.3pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -4.5
Score range: 43–83
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 174 vs event baseline 101.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.6Season APEX285.6

9.8Auto26.2

-0.3Teleop14.5

7.2Endgame27.6

24Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	37
teleop	39	31
endgame	29	19
foul	0	0
total	87	87

Result

Final score

87 – 87

Prediction missed · off by 23.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.