Qualification · Qualification 41
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 119.34
15%85%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
57 – 112
Prediction correct · off by 32.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 304.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 196Event APEX 12.65Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX -19.21Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48Event APEX -11.56Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 101.7Event APEX 46.31Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 42.73Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 30.3Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11178, 6488, 4587
3
/ 100 compatProjected
-18.1 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 11178, 6488, 4587
Auto
15.5 100%
Teleop
-5.5 0%
Endgame
2.2 18%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 231, 10118, 7691
67
/ 100 compatProjected
119.3 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 231, 10118, 7691
Auto
26.7 20%
Teleop
80.6 61%
Endgame
24.9 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 19%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-18.1pts
Blue projected score119.3pts
Red win probability15%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 19%, blue 32%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -119.3
- Score range
- -18–137
- Upset likelihood
- 15%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
304.3Season APEX226.2
15.5Auto26.7
-5.5Teleop80.6
2.2Endgame24.9
64Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 36 |
| teleop | 29 | 30 |
| endgame | 6 | 16 |
| foul | 0 | 30 |
| total | 57 | 112 |
Result
Final score
57 – 112
Prediction correct · off by 32.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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