Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

59.98 – 163.83

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 30.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 151.9 ±12.7

2882Nuts n' Boltz

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 10.5Rank 24Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6645Alloy Obsession

Season APEX 73Event APEX 37.19Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5726RHUMBOTZ

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 12.29Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 385.7 ±10.4

10904The Circuit Sorcerers

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX -1.46Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 153.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1255Blarglefish

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 11.57Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2882, 6645, 5726

/ 100 compat

Projected

60 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2882, 6645, 5726

Auto

19.4 32%

Teleop

18.0 30%

Endgame

22.4 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10904, 118, 1255

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10904, 118, 1255

Auto

38.1 21%

Teleop

92.0 52%

Endgame

47.3 27%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60pts

Blue projected score163.8pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 4%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -103.9
Score range: 42–182
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 102.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

151.9Season APEX385.7

19.4Auto38.1

18Teleop92

22.4Endgame47.3

73Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	23
teleop	4	65
endgame	0	49
foul	5	0
total	25	137

Result

Final score

25 – 137

Prediction correct · off by 30.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.