Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

61.34 – 142.16

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

107 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.4 ±9.8

11277ARC

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 31.83Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 11.72Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11242Golden Eagle Mechanics

Season APEX 180.1Event APEX 17.79Rank 23Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 345.5 ±10.5

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 12.6Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 39.94Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 89.62Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11277, 7691, 11242

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11277, 7691, 11242

Auto

21.2 32%

Teleop

27.6 42%

Endgame

16.8 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8818, 5414, 8515

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8818, 5414, 8515

Auto

23.0 28%

Teleop

51.4 63%

Endgame

7.8 9%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.3pts

Blue projected score142.2pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 28%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -80.8
Score range: 43–160
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 229 vs event baseline 101.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313.4Season APEX345.5

21.2Auto23

27.6Teleop51.4

16.8Endgame7.8

0Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	27
teleop	36	78
endgame	37	17
foul	5	0
total	107	122

Result

Final score

107 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 32.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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