Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

106.15 – 70.57

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 254.9 ±11

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 32.97Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4328Furious Falcons

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 27.34Rank 13Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 45.84Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.6 ±12.8

6488RoboRams

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX -2.1Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5923WildC.A.T.S.

Season APEX 19.1Event APEX 10.66Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5261Cyber Shock

Season APEX 82.2Event APEX 62.01Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8576, 4328, 10118

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8576, 4328, 10118

Auto

29.4 31%

Teleop

39.8 42%

Endgame

26.2 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 6488, 5923, 5261

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6488, 5923, 5261

Auto

14.4 24%

Teleop

23.9 40%

Endgame

21.1 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.57 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score106.2pts

Blue projected score70.6pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.6
Score range: 53–124
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 167 vs event baseline 102.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

254.9Season APEX161.6

29.4Auto14.4

39.8Teleop23.9

26.2Endgame21.1

13Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	19
teleop	82	13
endgame	20	7
foul	0	0
total	128	39

Result

Final score

128 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 26.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.