Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.45 – 190.4

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 41 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 152.3 ±15.3

11132Rambotics, Inc.

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 61.17Rank 26Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2585Impact

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX -8.44Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9521Humble Rumble

Season APEX 27Event APEX -4.28Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.5 ±11.1

5908Spartans

Season APEX 30.7Event APEX 23.58Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 165.76Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 1.06Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11132, 2585, 9521

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.5 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 11132, 2585, 9521

Auto

9.7 34%

Teleop

5.2 18%

Endgame

13.9 48%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 5908, 624, 4587

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.4 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5908, 624, 4587

Auto

39.3 21%

Teleop

100.0 52%

Endgame

51.8 27%

Strengths

· 624 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score48.5pts

Blue projected score190.4pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -141.9
Score range: 29–209
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 103.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

152.3Season APEX273.5

9.7Auto39.3

5.2Teleop100

13.9Endgame51.8

61Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	44
teleop	14	54
endgame	26	13
foul	0	0
total	51	111

Result

Final score

51 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 41 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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