Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

58.59 – 11.11

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

53 – 65

Prediction missed · off by 29.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 134 ±11.6

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 10.24Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5726RHUMBOTZ

Season APEX 24.8Event APEX 19.98Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4328Furious Falcons

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 28.37Rank 13Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263 ±12.8

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 15Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2882Nuts n' Boltz

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 3.3Rank 24Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6488RoboRams

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX -7.19Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8818, 5726, 4328

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8818, 5726, 4328

Auto

23.9 45%

Teleop

8.8 17%

Endgame

20.0 38%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8576, 2882, 6488

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8576, 2882, 6488

Auto

13.5 50%

Teleop

-0.6 0%

Endgame

13.9 52%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.6 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score58.6pts

Blue projected score11.1pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.5
Score range: -8–78
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 118 vs event baseline 104.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

134Season APEX263

23.9Auto13.5

8.8Teleop-0.6

20Endgame13.9

94Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	25
teleop	23	35
endgame	20	5
foul	0	0
total	53	65

Result

Final score

53 – 65

Prediction missed · off by 29.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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