Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

201.64 – 76.27

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

206 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 16.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 356.9 ±9.7

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 146.39Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4328Furious Falcons

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 34.27Rank 13Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 20.98Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 213.6 ±11.7

2882Nuts n' Boltz

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 12.36Rank 24Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

231High Voltage

Season APEX 101.7Event APEX 42.34Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 21.57Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 118, 4328, 7691

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 118, 4328, 7691

Auto

35.2 18%

Teleop

100.4 53%

Endgame

55.4 29%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 2882, 231, 8818

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2882, 231, 8818

Auto

20.7 25%

Teleop

42.6 51%

Endgame

20.1 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 0.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score201.6pts

Blue projected score76.3pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 125.4
Score range: 55–223
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 253 vs event baseline 116.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

356.9Season APEX213.6

35.2Auto20.7

100.4Teleop42.6

55.4Endgame20.1

34Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	11
teleop	112	20
endgame	68	16
foul	0	0
total	206	47

Result

Final score

206 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 16.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.