Qualification · Qualification 28
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 168.09
8%92%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
79 – 59
Prediction missed · off by 94 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 333.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 96.4Event APEX -0.08Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 196Event APEX -3.65Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 41.2Event APEX -21.34Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 204.3 ±14.4
Season APEX 27Event APEX 27.1Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 23.62Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 117.37Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1255, 11178, 5070
12
/ 100 compatProjected
-25.1 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 1255, 11178, 5070
Auto
20.5 37%
Teleop
40.0 73%
Endgame
-5.5 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 9521, 7691, 8515
83
/ 100 compatProjected
168.1 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9521, 7691, 8515
Auto
20.8 24%
Teleop
46.6 54%
Endgame
18.4 21%
Strengths
- · 8515 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.52 · Blue 2.13
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-25.1pts
Blue projected score168.1pts
Red win probability8%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 26%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -168.1
- Score range
- -18–186
- Upset likelihood
- 8%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
333.6Season APEX204.3
20.5Auto20.8
40Teleop46.6
-5.5Endgame18.4
92Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 25 | 29 |
| teleop | 29 | 23 |
| endgame | 25 | 7 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 79 | 59 |
Result
Final score
79 – 59
Prediction missed · off by 94 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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