Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

98.76 – 214.9

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

246 – 76

Prediction missed · off by 143.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 349.9 ±11.2

10904The Circuit Sorcerers

Season APEX 53.4Event APEX -35.47Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

231High Voltage

Season APEX 101.7Event APEX 24.85Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 109.38Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.7 ±11.7

11132Rambotics, Inc.

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 100.08Rank 26Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5261Cyber Shock

Season APEX 82.2Event APEX 89.62Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1255Blarglefish

Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 25.2Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10904, 231, 624

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.8 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10904, 231, 624

Auto

35.1 22%

Teleop

84.4 53%

Endgame

39.2 25%

Strengths

· 624 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11132, 5261, 1255

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11132, 5261, 1255

Auto

30.1 28%

Teleop

58.1 54%

Endgame

19.4 18%

Strengths

· 11132 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 1.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score98.8pts

Blue projected score214.9pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 4%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -116.1
Score range: 80–234
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 322 vs event baseline 104.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

349.9Season APEX232.7

35.1Auto30.1

84.4Teleop58.1

39.2Endgame19.4

95Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	17
teleop	141	47
endgame	47	12
foul	0	0
total	246	76

Result

Final score

246 – 76

Prediction missed · off by 143.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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