Qualification · Qualification 22

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

179.7 – 92.32

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 110

Prediction missed · off by 65.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.3 ±15.3

6488RoboRams

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 26.93Rank 30Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9512Horsepower

Season APEX 111Event APEX 101.17Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9521Humble Rumble

Season APEX 27Event APEX 51.6Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 427.4 ±10.5

11178Revelation

Season APEX 196Event APEX 2.98Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4328Furious Falcons

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 65.43Rank 13Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 23.91Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6488, 9512, 9521

/ 100 compat

Projected

179.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6488, 9512, 9521

Auto

3.4 37%

Teleop

-8.4 0%

Endgame

14.3 100%

Strengths

· 9512 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11178, 4328, 5414

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11178, 4328, 5414

Auto

20.7 22%

Teleop

50.6 54%

Endgame

23.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score179.7pts

Blue projected score92.3pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 87.4
Score range: 73–199
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 176 vs event baseline 105.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.3Season APEX427.4

3.4Auto20.7

-8.4Teleop50.6

14.3Endgame23.2

0Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	32
teleop	15	42
endgame	26	31
foul	0	5
total	66	110

Result

Final score

66 – 110

Prediction missed · off by 65.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.