Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

77.07 – 165.25

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.2 ±11

8177Vector

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 55.79Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10118Robonauts EveryBot

Season APEX 54.9Event APEX 26.75Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5908Spartans

Season APEX 30.7Event APEX -5.47Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 479.6 ±8.4

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 117.22Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11277ARC

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 48.3Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX -0.27Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8177, 10118, 5908

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8177, 10118, 5908

Auto

19.5 19%

Teleop

65.2 65%

Endgame

15.4 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 4%

Blue · 118, 11277, 5414

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 118, 11277, 5414

Auto

37.0 23%

Teleop

75.8 48%

Endgame

46.4 29%

Strengths

· 118 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 4%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score77.1pts

Blue projected score165.2pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 4%, blue 3%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.2
Score range: 59–183
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 384 vs event baseline 98.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

155.2Season APEX479.6

19.5Auto37

65.2Teleop75.8

15.4Endgame46.4

90Consistency203

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	28
teleop	34	180
endgame	43	79
foul	0	0
total	97	287

Result

Final score

97 – 287

Prediction correct · off by 70.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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