Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

85.62 – 18.58

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

475 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 196 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 272.8 ±12.7

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 44.39Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11132Rambotics, Inc.

Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 31.21Rank 26Record 3-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

9512Horsepower

Season APEX 111Event APEX 10.02Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 160.9 ±12.2

8818The Foe - Foe Engineering Group

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX -2.97Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7115Red Lion Bots

Season APEX 55.1Event APEX 7.46Rank 20Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 14.09Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8515, 11132, 9512

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8515, 11132, 9512

Auto

13.4 16%

Teleop

62.2 73%

Endgame

9.2 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 8818, 7115, 4587

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8818, 7115, 4587

Auto

9.2 42%

Teleop

9.8 45%

Endgame

2.8 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.6pts

Blue projected score18.6pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 67
Score range: 4–101
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 491 vs event baseline 83.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

272.8Season APEX160.9

13.4Auto9.2

62.2Teleop9.8

9.2Endgame2.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	13
teleop	23	2
endgame	12	1
foul	425	0
total	475	16

Result

Final score

475 – 16

Prediction correct · off by 196 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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