Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
315.79 – 139.31
90%10%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
325 – 139
Prediction correct · off by 4.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 494.4 ±8.4
Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 36.09Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 143.68Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 136.02Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.1 ±11.6
Season APEX 48Event APEX 20.06Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 80.34Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 96.4Event APEX 38.91Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 11277, 118, 624
82
/ 100 compatProjected
315.8 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 11277, 118, 624
Auto
58.1 19%
Teleop
171.3 56%
Endgame
77.1 25%
Strengths
- · 118 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 4587, 8515, 1255
73
/ 100 compatProjected
139.3 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 4587, 8515, 1255
Auto
27.4 22%
Teleop
63.4 52%
Endgame
31.3 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 0.46
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score315.8pts
Blue projected score139.3pts
Red win probability90%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 21%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 176.5
- Score range
- 119–336
- Upset likelihood
- 10%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
494.4Season APEX252.1
58.1Auto27.4
171.3Teleop63.4
77.1Endgame31.3
0Consistency2
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 57 | 14 |
| teleop | 166 | 90 |
| endgame | 87 | 20 |
| foul | 15 | 15 |
| total | 325 | 139 |
Result
Final score
325 – 139
Prediction correct · off by 4.8 pts
Match videos
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