Texas Robotics Invitational Girls Drive Tournament

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

113.75 – 279.42

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 58.2 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 287.4 ±8.6

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX -Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 40.29Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 40.29Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 508 ±9.3

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 93.14Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 93.14Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 93.14Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5829, NaN, 8515

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.7 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5829, NaN, 8515

Auto

28.2 25%

Teleop

49.2 43%

Endgame

36.4 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10014, 8370, 2881

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.4 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10014, 8370, 2881

Auto

55.7 20%

Teleop

156.0 56%

Endgame

67.7 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score113.7pts

Blue projected score279.4pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample34alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 84%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -165.7
Score range: 78–315
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 412 vs event baseline 199.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

287.4Season APEX508

18.3Auto55.7

32.6Teleop156

29.7Endgame67.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	81
teleop	32	210
endgame	16	56
foul	0	0
total	65	347

Result

Final score

65 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 58.2 pts