Texas Robotics Invitational Girls Drive Tournament

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

284.31 – 56.88

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

263 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 577.1 ±9.3

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 94.77Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 94.77Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 94.77Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 487.4 ±9.8

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 24.74Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 13.4Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 18.74Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8044, 7312, 127

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.3 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8044, 7312, 127

Auto

81.7 29%

Teleop

172.3 61%

Endgame

27.5 10%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 86%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1477, 8576, 2587

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.9 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1477, 8576, 2587

Auto

21.4 38%

Teleop

34.2 60%

Endgame

1.2 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 86%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.78 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score284.3pts

Blue projected score56.9pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample34alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 86%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 227.4
Score range: 19–322
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 332 vs event baseline 209.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

577.1Season APEX487.4

81.7Auto21.4

172.3Teleop34.2

27.5Endgame1.2

150Consistency245

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	89	26
teleop	155	42
endgame	4	1
foul	15	0
total	263	69

Result

Final score

263 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 16.7 pts