Texas Robotics Invitational Girls Drive Tournament

Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

340.07 – 110.24

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

379 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 518.7 ±9.3

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 251.88Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 38.55Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

5503Smithville Tiger Trons

Season APEX 39Event APEX 49.64Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 482 ±9.8

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 85.86Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 45.19Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX -20.81Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10340, 5414, 5503

/ 100 compat

Projected

340.1 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10340, 5414, 5503

Auto

81.1 24%

Teleop

178.8 53%

Endgame

80.1 24%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7492, 3847, 4639

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.2 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7492, 3847, 4639

Auto

17.3 16%

Teleop

64.7 59%

Endgame

28.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score340.1pts

Blue projected score110.2pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample34alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 229.8
Score range: 72–378
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 497 vs event baseline 209.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

518.7Season APEX482

81.1Auto17.3

178.8Teleop64.7

80.1Endgame28.3

82Consistency164

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	15
teleop	196	73
endgame	93	30
foul	0	0
total	379	118

Result

Final score

379 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 pts