Texas Robotics Invitational Girls Drive Tournament

Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

308.88 – 181.2

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

326 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 8.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 508 ±9.3

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 102.96Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 102.96Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 102.96Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.2 ±11

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 60.4Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 60.4Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 60.4Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10014, 8370, 2881

/ 100 compat

Projected

308.9 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10014, 8370, 2881

Auto

65.5 21%

Teleop

180.0 58%

Endgame

63.4 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX
· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6357, 324, 4587

/ 100 compat

Projected

181.2 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6357, 324, 4587

Auto

33.1 19%

Teleop

116.2 65%

Endgame

28.3 16%

Strengths

· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.54 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score308.9pts

Blue projected score181.2pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample34alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 84%, blue 84%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 127.7
Score range: 143–347
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 507 vs event baseline 209.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

508Season APEX266.2

65.5Auto33.1

180Teleop116.2

63.4Endgame28.3

252Consistency237

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	20
teleop	182	128
endgame	79	33
foul	0	0
total	326	181

Result

Final score

326 – 181

Prediction correct · off by 8.7 pts