Texas Robotics Invitational Girls Drive Tournament

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

218.88 – 129.87

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

187 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 21.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 464.1 ±11.9

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 72.96Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

4336Ramageddon Robotics

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 72.96Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 92

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 72.96Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 302.5 ±8.6

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 82.18Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 13.51Rank -Record -Status -Confidence -

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 34.18Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9140, 4336, 5427

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.9 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9140, 4336, 5427

Auto

61.7 28%

Teleop

88.1 40%

Endgame

69.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 624, NaN, 8515

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.9 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 624, NaN, 8515

Auto

30.3 23%

Teleop

54.3 42%

Endgame

45.3 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.38 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score218.9pts

Blue projected score129.9pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample34alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 84%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89
Score range: 92–257
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 328 vs event baseline 209.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

464.1Season APEX302.5

61.7Auto30.3

88.1Teleop54.3

69.1Endgame45.3

210Consistency212

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	32
teleop	67	57
endgame	60	52
foul	0	0
total	187	141

Result

Final score

187 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 21.5 pts