Texas Robotics Invitational Girls Drive Tournament

Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.24 – 284.31

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 288

Prediction correct · off by 11.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 619.8 ±9.3

1296Full Metal Jackets

Season APEX 262.7Event APEX 31.86Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 45.19Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX -20.81Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 577.1 ±9.3

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 94.77Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 94.77Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 94.77Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1296, 3847, 4639

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.2 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1296, 3847, 4639

Auto

16.0 28%

Teleop

26.7 47%

Endgame

13.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8044, 7312, 127

/ 100 compat

Projected

284.3 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8044, 7312, 127

Auto

81.7 29%

Teleop

172.3 61%

Endgame

27.5 10%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.63 · Blue 2.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score56.2pts

Blue projected score284.3pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample34alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 86%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -228.1
Score range: 18–322
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 325 vs event baseline 209.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

619.8Season APEX577.1

16Auto81.7

26.7Teleop172.3

13.6Endgame27.5

142Consistency150

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	69
teleop	16	167
endgame	8	52
foul	0	0
total	37	288

Result

Final score

37 – 288

Prediction correct · off by 11.5 pts