Texas Robotics Invitational Girls Drive Tournament

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

24.21 – 343.64

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

20 – 379

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 344.4 ±11

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 13.4Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 18.74Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

2585Impact

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX -7.93Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.3 ±9.3

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 251.88Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 38.55Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 53.21Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8576, 2587, 2585

/ 100 compat

Projected

24.2 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8576, 2587, 2585

Auto

8.7 36%

Teleop

12.2 51%

Endgame

3.2 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10340, 5414, 7691

/ 100 compat

Projected

343.6 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10340, 5414, 7691

Auto

88.3 26%

Teleop

192.5 56%

Endgame

62.9 18%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.47 · Blue 2.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score24.2pts

Blue projected score343.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample34alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -319.4
Score range: -14–382
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 399 vs event baseline 209.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

344.4Season APEX549.3

8.7Auto88.3

12.2Teleop192.5

3.2Endgame62.9

254Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	96
teleop	9	210
endgame	4	73
foul	0	0
total	20	379

Result

Final score

20 – 379

Prediction correct · off by 19.8 pts