Texas Robotics Invitational Girls Drive Tournament

Playoff · Playoff Match 16 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

202.41 – 172.74

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

271 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 51.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 464.1 ±11.9

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 67.47Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

4336Ramageddon Robotics

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 67.47Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 92

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 67.47Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 266.2 ±11

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 57.58Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 57.58Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 57.58Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9140, 4336, 5427

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.4 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9140, 4336, 5427

Auto

53.4 26%

Teleop

82.1 41%

Endgame

67.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6357, 324, 4587

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.7 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6357, 324, 4587

Auto

31.6 19%

Teleop

109.3 65%

Endgame

27.2 16%

Strengths

· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 84%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score202.4pts

Blue projected score172.7pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample34alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 84%, blue 84%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.7
Score range: 136–239
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 479 vs event baseline 202.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

464.1Season APEX266.2

53.4Auto31.6

82.1Teleop109.3

67Endgame27.2

231Consistency237

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	38
teleop	107	138
endgame	76	32
foul	0	0
total	271	208

Result

Final score

271 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 51.9 pts