Texas Robotics Invitational Girls Drive Tournament

Playoff · Playoff Match 14 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

31.47 – 309.15

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 3.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 410 ±10.5

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 23.38Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 17.38Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

2585Impact

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX -9.29Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 508 ±9.3

10014REBELLION

Season APEX 225.6Event APEX 103.05Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 103.05Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

2881Lady Cans

Season APEX 235.3Event APEX 103.05Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1477, 2587, 2585

/ 100 compat

Projected

31.5 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1477, 2587, 2585

Auto

14.7 47%

Teleop

15.5 49%

Endgame

1.3 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10014, 8370, 2881

/ 100 compat

Projected

309.2 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10014, 8370, 2881

Auto

65.0 21%

Teleop

179.4 58%

Endgame

64.7 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX
· Low variance, consistent output

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.49 · Blue 2.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score31.5pts

Blue projected score309.2pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample34alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 84%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -277.7
Score range: -5–345
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 345 vs event baseline 200.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410Season APEX508

14.7Auto65

15.5Teleop179.4

1.3Endgame64.7

0Consistency249

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	67
teleop	31	182
endgame	3	59
foul	0	0
total	37	308

Result

Final score

37 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 3.3 pts