Texas Robotics Invitational Girls Drive Tournament

Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

300.96 – 339.68

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

215 – 349

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 577.1 ±9.3

8044Denham Venom

Season APEX 340.9Event APEX 100.32Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 100.32Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 100.32Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.3 ±9.3

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 250.56Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 51.89Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

5414Pearadox

Season APEX 180Event APEX 37.23Rank -Record -Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8044, 7312, 127

/ 100 compat

Projected

301 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8044, 7312, 127

Auto

82.1 28%

Teleop

187.9 63%

Endgame

27.4 9%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 86%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10340, 7691, 5414

/ 100 compat

Projected

339.7 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10340, 7691, 5414

Auto

84.8 25%

Teleop

187.7 55%

Endgame

67.2 20%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 86%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.66 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score301pts

Blue projected score339.7pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample34alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 86%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -38.7
Score range: 264–377
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 564 vs event baseline 205.1.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

577.1Season APEX549.3

82.1Auto84.8

187.9Teleop187.7

27.4Endgame67.2

186Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	93
teleop	107	199
endgame	28	57
foul	0	0
total	215	349

Result

Final score

215 – 349

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 pts