Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

567.44 – 391.62

90%10%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

696 – 221

Prediction correct · off by 149.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 769.1 ±9.3

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 280.5Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2587DiscoBots

Season APEX 124.6Event APEX 59.4Rank 20Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 227.54Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 593.4 ±8.4

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 143.28Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 107.82Rank 17Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 140.52Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9128, 2587, 10340

/ 100 compat

Projected

567.4 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9128, 2587, 10340

Auto

114.8 21%

Teleop

349.3 63%

Endgame

88.6 16%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3847, 6377, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

391.6 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3847, 6377, 118

Auto

83.6 22%

Teleop

217.7 57%

Endgame

83.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score567.4pts

Blue projected score391.6pts

Red win probability90%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 175.8
Score range: 341–618
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 917 vs event baseline 280.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

769.1Season APEX593.4

114.8Auto83.6

349.3Teleop217.7

88.6Endgame83.1

35Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	158	85
teleop	265	97
endgame	208	39
foul	65	0
total	696	221

Result

Final score

696 – 221

Prediction correct · off by 149.6 pts