Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

359.05 – 261.27

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

391 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 593.4 ±8.4

3847Spectrum -△◅

Season APEX 245.1Event APEX 138.24Rank 5Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6377Howdy Bots

Season APEX 112.4Event APEX 94.37Rank 17Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 126.44Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 359.6 ±11

5427Steel Talons

Season APEX 129.8Event APEX 46.78Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8515Photon

Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 69.76Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7312T3

Season APEX 122.1Event APEX 144.73Rank 16Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3847, 6377, 118

/ 100 compat

Projected

359.1 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3847, 6377, 118

Auto

74.0 21%

Teleop

192.9 55%

Endgame

83.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5427, 8515, 7312

/ 100 compat

Projected

261.3 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5427, 8515, 7312

Auto

43.1 16%

Teleop

172.3 66%

Endgame

47.4 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.29 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score359.1pts

Blue projected score261.3pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 97.8
Score range: 211–409
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 650 vs event baseline 276.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

593.4Season APEX359.6

74Auto43.1

192.9Teleop172.3

83.4Endgame47.4

50Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	62
teleop	241	118
endgame	54	79
foul	5	0
total	391	259

Result

Final score

391 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts