Qualification · Qualification 6
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
231.73 – 354.95
18%82%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
193 – 372
Prediction correct · off by 27.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 515.9 ±9.3
Season APEX 211Event APEX 131.64Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 180Event APEX 58.13Rank 37Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 41.96Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 540.8 ±10.5
Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 233.34Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 107.7Event APEX 70.59Rank 15Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 51.02Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2582, 5414, 7492
59
/ 100 compatProjected
231.7 pts
~1.1 RP (offseason)
Teams: 2582, 5414, 7492
Auto
51.1 23%
Teleop
120.6 53%
Endgame
54.1 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10340, 8515, 324
71
/ 100 compatProjected
355 pts
~2.5 RP (offseason)
Teams: 10340, 8515, 324
Auto
78.7 22%
Teleop
219.5 62%
Endgame
53.5 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.08 · Blue 2.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setOffseason
Red projected score231.7pts
Blue projected score355pts
Red win probability18%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 13%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -123.2
- Score range
- 179–408
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
515.9Season APEX540.8
51.1Auto78.7
120.6Teleop219.5
54.1Endgame53.5
79Consistency63
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 59 | 70 |
| teleop | 77 | 246 |
| endgame | 57 | 56 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 193 | 372 |
Result
Final score
193 – 372
Prediction correct · off by 27.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree