Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.68 – 372.62

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

138 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 38 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 295.5 ±10.5

4587Jersey Voltage

Season APEX 48Event APEX 22.68Rank 39Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

324Chips

Season APEX 133.4Event APEX 39.51Rank 23Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 17.49Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 518.4 ±9.3

5829Awtybots

Season APEX 179.7Event APEX 89.09Rank 8Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10340ITKAN Girls

A+

Season APEX 299.7Event APEX 259.7Rank 2Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5503Smithville Tiger Trons

Season APEX 39Event APEX 23.83Rank 30Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4587, 324, 127

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.7 pts

~0.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4587, 324, 127

Auto

15.3 21%

Teleop

23.3 33%

Endgame

32.7 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5829, 10340, 5503

/ 100 compat

Projected

372.6 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5829, 10340, 5503

Auto

80.7 22%

Teleop

224.1 61%

Endgame

62.7 17%

Strengths

· 10340 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score79.7pts

Blue projected score372.6pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -292.9
Score range: 32–421
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 493 vs event baseline 265.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

295.5Season APEX518.4

15.3Auto80.7

23.3Teleop224.1

32.7Endgame62.7

53Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	74
teleop	63	177
endgame	51	104
foul	0	0
total	138	355

Result

Final score

138 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 38 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree