Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

197.34 – 380.66

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

145 – 404

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 460 ±11.9

8576Golden Warriors Robotics

Season APEX 148.6Event APEX 84.78Rank 35Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4336Ramageddon Robotics

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 40.72Rank 31Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1477Texas Torque

Season APEX 214.2Event APEX 71.84Rank 12Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 516.8 ±9.8

8370Glow With The Flow

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 28.65Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9128ITKAN Robotics

Season APEX 344.8Event APEX 312.68Rank 1Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7492Turbo Torque

Season APEX 124.9Event APEX 39.33Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8576, 4336, 1477

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.3 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8576, 4336, 1477

Auto

31.8 18%

Teleop

109.2 61%

Endgame

38.9 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8370, 9128, 7492

/ 100 compat

Projected

380.7 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8370, 9128, 7492

Auto

73.5 20%

Teleop

221.6 59%

Endgame

81.1 22%

Strengths

· 9128 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score197.3pts

Blue projected score380.7pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -183.3
Score range: 149–429
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 549 vs event baseline 264.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

460Season APEX516.8

31.8Auto73.5

109.2Teleop221.6

38.9Endgame81.1

105Consistency58

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	82
teleop	102	215
endgame	13	57
foul	0	50
total	145	404

Result

Final score

145 – 404

Prediction correct · off by 37.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree