Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

317.34 – 226.21

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

325 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 322.6 ±6.7

4192Jaguar Robotics

Season APEX 86.7Event APEX 134.79Rank 11Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

118Robonauts

Season APEX 235.9Event APEX 130.04Rank 6Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

NaN

Season APEX -Event APEX 52.51Rank 37Record 2-7-0Status -Confidence -

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 417.4 ±11.2

7691TSA All Stars

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 44.88Rank 36Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9140The Robobots

Season APEX 237.1Event APEX 134.11Rank 24Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

456Siege Robotics

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 47.22Rank 27Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4192, 118, NaN

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.3 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4192, 118, NaN

Auto

43.0 14%

Teleop

185.5 62%

Endgame

73.0 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7691, 9140, 456

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.2 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 7691, 9140, 456

Auto

29.7 14%

Teleop

128.7 59%

Endgame

61.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.32 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score317.3pts

Blue projected score226.2pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91.1
Score range: 179–364
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 596 vs event baseline 263.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

322.6Season APEX417.4

43Auto29.7

185.5Teleop128.7

73Endgame61.2

41Consistency143

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	79	52
teleop	188	126
endgame	58	93
foul	0	0
total	325	271

Result

Final score

325 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree