Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

125.41 – 269.74

14%86%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

158 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 20.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 420.9 ±9.3

127Bluetonium

Season APEX 114.1Event APEX 15.32Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

624CRyptonite

Season APEX 194.8Event APEX 67.72Rank 32Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4639The RoboSpartans

Season APEX 112Event APEX 42.37Rank 34Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 410 ±9.8

6357The Spring Konstant

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 22.08Rank 28Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2582PantherBots

Season APEX 211Event APEX 101.3Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9418Pastabots

Season APEX 114.2Event APEX 146.36Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 127, 624, 4639

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.4 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 127, 624, 4639

Auto

26.4 22%

Teleop

68.7 58%

Endgame

22.5 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6357, 2582, 9418

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.7 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6357, 2582, 9418

Auto

39.2 15%

Teleop

148.7 57%

Endgame

73.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score125.4pts

Blue projected score269.7pts

Red win probability14%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -144.3
Score range: 78–317
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 436 vs event baseline 262.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

420.9Season APEX410

26.4Auto39.2

68.7Teleop148.7

22.5Endgame73.4

89Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	63
teleop	81	129
endgame	57	86
foul	0	0
total	158	278

Result

Final score

158 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 20.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree